Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 18/11/24
Monday 18 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 10:00 | 
|
Trade Balance |
|
4.6Bln EU | +12.5Bln EU | |
| 13:15 | 
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
223.8k | 240.0k | 240.8k |
Tuesday 19 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.1% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
-0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Boc Core Month on Month |
|
0.0% | +0.4% | |
| 13:30 | 
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.354Mln | 1.330Mln | 1.311Mln |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI BoC Core Year on Year |
|
1.6% | +1.7% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% |
| 23:50 | 
|
Imports Year on Year |
|
2.1% | -0.3% | 0.4% |
| 23:50 |
|
Exports Year on Year |
|
-1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% |
| 23:50 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-294.3Bln JP | -360.4Bln JP | -461.2Bln JP |
Wednesday 20 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) |
|
0.0% | 0.3% | |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.5% | +0.6% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 07:00 | 
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | 0.2% | +0.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Year on Year |
|
2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) |
|
1.4% | 1.7% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.4% | -1.1% | -1.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
1.7% | 2.2% | +2.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 2.089Mln | 0.138Mln | 0.545Mln |
Thursday 21 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Public Sector Net Borrowing | 16.613Bln GB | 17.354Bln GB | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.1% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
217k | 220k | 213k |
| 13:30 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Business Index |
|
10.3 | 8.0 | -5.5 |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
-0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Existing Home Sales |
|
3.84Mln | 3.93Mln | 3.96Mln |
| 23:30 |
|
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year |
|
2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% |
| 23:30 |
|
CPI Overall Nationwide |
|
2.5% | 2.3% |
Friday 22 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-21 | -22 | -18 |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Year on Year |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.3% | -0.3% | -0.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Sentiment |
|
73.0 | 73.7 | 71.8 |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Conditions |
|
64.4 | 63.9 | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Expectation |
|
78.5 | 76.9 |
Saturday 23 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.1% | 0.2% |
Monday 25 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 |
|
IFO Business Climate Expectations |
|
87.3 | 87.0 |
Tuesday 26 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 |
|
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month |
|
0.738Mln | 0.725Mln | |
| 15:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
108.7 | 111.6 |
Wednesday 27 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | 
|
RBNZ Rate Decision |
|
4.75% | 4.25% | |
| 07:45 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
94 | ||
| 09:00 | 
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | -7.7 | |||
| 09:30 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-18.3 | -18.2 | |
| 13:30 |
|
Durable Goods | -0.7% | 0.5% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
213k | 217k | |
| 14:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
2.5% | ||
| 15:00 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.7% | 2.8% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.4% | ||
| 15:00 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
7.4% | -1.3% | |
| 15:00 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.1% | 2.3% | |
| 15:00 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15:00 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 0.545Mln |
Thursday 28 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence | 97.4 | |||
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-13.7 | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
95.6 | 95.3 | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-13.0 | -13.2 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.96 | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
7.1 | 6.5 | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-2.0% | ||
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.4% | -0.2% | ||
| 23:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.4% | 2.5% | |
| 23:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | 1.6% | 3.9% | ||
| 23:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
0.5% | 2.2% |
Friday 29 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
36.2 | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
1.2% | 0.2% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
3.8% | ||
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | ||
| 07:45 |
|
GDP Detailed Quarter on Quarter | 0.4% | 0.4% | ||
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.1% | 6.1% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
27k | 20k | |
| 09:30 |
|
Money Supply M4 | 0.6% | |||
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised |
|
2.1% | 1.0% | |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.5% |
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