Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 13/05/24
Tuesday 14 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 
|
Claimant Count Unemployment Change |
|
10.9k | +8.9k | |
| 07:00 | 
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate (ILO) |
|
4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year |
|
5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Economic sentiment |
|
42.9 | 46.0 | 47.1 |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Current Conditions |
|
-79.2 | -75.8 | -72.3 |
| 13:30 | 
|
PPI Final Demand Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year |
|
2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI excl Food and Energy MM |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
Wednesday 15 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 | 
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| 07:45 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| 10:00 | 
|
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 0.8% | 0.5% | +0.6% | |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Flash estimate Year on Year | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
-6.4% | -1.2% | -1.0% |
| 13:15 | 
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
242.2k | 238.0k | 240.2k |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year (nsa) |
|
3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.4% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -1.362Mln | -0.543Mln | -2.508Mln |
Thursday 16 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | 
|
GDP Quarter on Quarter | 0.1% | -0.4% | -0.5% | |
| 02:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
3.8% | 3.9% | +4.1% |
| 05:30 |
|
Industrial Production Revised |
|
3.8% | 4.4% | |
| 09:00 | 
|
CPI Final Year on Year | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | |
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-0.851Bln EU | -1.428Bln EU | |
| 13:30 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Business Index |
|
15.5 | 8.0 | 4.5 |
| 13:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.321Mln | 1.420Mln | 1.360Mln |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
231k | 220k | 222k |
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Friday 17 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:00 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
3.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| 06:30 |
|
ILO Unemployment Rate |
|
7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
Tuesday 21 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 |
|
Consumer Sentiment |
|
-2.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-2.9% | -3.2% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
23.6Bln EU | ||
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
2.9% | 2.7% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Boc Core Month on Month |
|
0.5% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.6% | 0.5% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI BoC Core Year on Year |
|
2.0% |
Wednesday 22 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 |
|
Imports Year on Year |
|
-5.1% | 9.0% | |
| 00:50 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
387.0Bln JP | -339.5Bln JP | |
| 00:50 |
|
Exports Year on Year |
|
7.3% | 11.1% | |
| 03:00 | 
|
RBNZ Rate Decision |
|
5.50% | 5.50% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) |
|
0.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Public Sector Net Borrowing | 11.015Bln GB | |||
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Month on Month |
|
0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
3.2% | 2.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Year on Year |
|
4.3% | 3.3% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) |
|
0.3% | ||
| 15:00 |
|
Existing Home Sales |
|
4.19Mln | 4.22Mln | |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -2.508Mln |
Thursday 23 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
222k | 220k | |
| 15:00 |
|
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month |
|
0.693Mln | 0.675Mln |
Friday 24 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-19 | -18 | |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year |
|
2.6% | 2.2% | |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Overall Nationwide |
|
2.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
0.8% | -0.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Year on Year |
|
-0.9% | -0.9% | |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.0% | -0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Durable Goods | 2.6% | -0.7% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | -0.1% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Sentiment |
|
67.4 | 67.6 | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Expectation |
|
66.5 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Conditions |
|
68.8 |
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