Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 24/03/25


Tuesday 25 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
IFO Business Climate Expectations IFO Business Climate Expectations Chart 85.4 87.5 87.7
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month New Home Sales-Units Month on Month Chart 0.657Mln 0.679Mln 0.676Mln
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 98.3 94.0 92.9

Wednesday 26 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart -0.1% 0.5%
RPI Month on Month RPI Month on Month Chart -0.1% 0.8%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 3.0% 2.9%
RPI Year on Year RPI Year on Year Chart 3.6% 3.6%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 93 94
ZEW Investor Sentiment   3.4
Durable Goods   3.2% -1.0%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   1.745Mln -0.956Mln

Thursday 27 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 223k 225k
GDP Deflator GDP Deflator Chart 2.4% 2.4%
GDP Final GDP Final Chart 2.3% 2.3%
Corporate Profits Corporate Profits Chart
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart -4.6% 1.0%

Friday 28 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Trade Balance Non-EU Trade Balance Non-EU Chart -6.098Bln GB
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 1.7% -0.4%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.0% 0.5%
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -24.7 -22.7
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.1% 0.1%
GDP Final Year on Year   1.4% 1.4%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -17.447Bln GB -16.800Bln GB
Current Account Current Account Chart -18.099Bln GB -23.445Bln GB
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.7%
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.2% 6.2%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart 5k 10k
Consumer Confidence   98.8 98.8
Business Climate Business Climate Chart -0.74
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -11.4 -10.5
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 6.2 6.7
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 96.3 97.0
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -14.5 -14.5
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 1.6%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 4.4%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.3%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 2.6% 2.7%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.3%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.3%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart -0.5%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 2.5% 2.5%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.9% 0.4%
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 2.5%
Univ Michigan Sentiment Univ Michigan Sentiment Chart 57.9 57.9
Univ Michigan Conditions Univ Michigan Conditions Chart 63.5
Univ Michigan Expectation Univ Michigan Expectation Chart 54.2

Monday 31 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 3.9%
Industrial Production Prelim   -1.1%
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 50.2
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.2%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.9%
Money Supply M4   1.3%
CPI Final Month on Month   0.4%

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