Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 29/04/24
Monday 29 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-14.7 | -14.7 | -14.7 |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-8.8 | -8.6 | -10.5 |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
96.3 | 96.7 | 95.6 |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
6.3 | 6.7 | 6.0 |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.30 | -0.53 | |
| 13:00 | 
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
Tuesday 30 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% |
| 00:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
4.6% | 2.2% | +1.2% |
| 00:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | -0.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | |
| 02:30 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | -0.4% |
| 02:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
50.8 | 50.3 | 50.4 |
| 06:30 | 
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.9% | 1.1% | +1.8% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-2.7% | +0.3% | |
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-1.7% | -0.2% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
4k | 9k | +10k |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year |
|
-0.4% | -0.8% | -0.9% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter |
|
-0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| 09:00 | 
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year |
|
0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 09:30 | 
|
Money Supply M4 | 0.5% | 0.7% | ||
| 13:30 | 
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 15:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
104.7 | 104.0 |
Wednesday 01 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.9 | |||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
1.6% | 1.2% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.7 | 48.7 | ||
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
184k | 175k | |
| 14:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.8 | |||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
50.3 | 50.0 | |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -6.368Mln | -0.750Mln | ||
| 19:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 5.375% | 5.375% |
Thursday 02 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
39.5 | ||
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.4 | 50.0 | ||
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 44.9 | 44.9 | ||
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 42.2 | 42.2 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 45.6 | 45.6 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-10.8% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-1.0% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-68.9Bln US | -69.1Bln US | |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
1.39Bln CA | 1.50Bln CA | |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
207k | 212k | |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
1.4% | 1.6% |
Friday 03 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 0.2% | 0.3% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 7.5% | 7.5% | ||
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 54.9 | 54.9 | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.5% | 6.5% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
3.8% | 3.8% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
303k | 243k | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
51.4 | 52.0 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
57.4 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
53.4 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
48.5 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
54.4 |
Monday 06 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 54.6 | |||
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 50.5 | |||
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 53.3 | |||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 51.4 | |||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 52.9 | |||
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-1.0% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-8.3% |
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