Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 11/11/24
Monday 11 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.1% | ||
| 23:30 | 
|
Consumer Sentiment |
|
6.2% | +5.3% |
Tuesday 12 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year |
|
3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate (ILO) |
|
4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Claimant Count Unemployment Change |
|
27.9k | +26.7k | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 07:00 | 
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Current Conditions |
|
-86.9 | -85.9 | -91.4 |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Economic sentiment |
|
13.1 | 13.0 | 7.4 |
Wednesday 13 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | 
|
ILO Unemployment Rate |
|
7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.1% | ||
| 13:30 | 
|
CPI Year on Year (nsa) |
|
2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Thursday 14 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.1% | 4.1% | +4.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 10:00 | 
|
GDP Flash estimate Year on Year | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 1.8% | -1.4% | -2.0% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
0.1% | -2.0% | -2.8% |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI excl Food and Energy MM |
|
0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Final Demand Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year |
|
1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
221k | 223k | 217k |
| 16:00 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 2.149Mln | 0.750Mln | 2.089Mln | |
| 23:50 | 
|
GDP Quarter on Quarter | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Friday 15 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:00 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% |
| 04:30 |
|
Industrial Production Revised |
|
1.4% | 1.6% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-15.060Bln GB | -16.200Bln GB | -16.321Bln GB |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Year on Year |
|
-0.3% | 0.1% | -0.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance Non-EU |
|
-4.947Bln GB | -5.313Bln GB | |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
-1.6% | -1.2% | -1.8% |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.5% | 0.1% | -0.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Month on Month |
|
1.1% | -0.1% | -1.0% |
| 07:45 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% |
| 07:45 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 09:00 | 
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-1.364Bln EU | -1.175Bln EU | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% |
| 15:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Saturday 16 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.1% |
Monday 18 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
4.6Bln EU | ||
| 13:15 | 
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
223.8k | 242.5k |
Tuesday 19 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
2.0% | 2.0% | |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
-0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
1.6% | 1.9% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI BoC Core Year on Year |
|
1.6% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Boc Core Month on Month |
|
0.0% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.354Mln | 1.335Mln | |
| 23:50 |
|
Exports Year on Year |
|
-1.7% | 2.2% | |
| 23:50 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-294.3Bln JP | -360.4Bln JP | |
| 23:50 |
|
Imports Year on Year |
|
2.1% | -0.3% |
Wednesday 20 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Year on Year |
|
2.7% | 3.5% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.5% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) |
|
0.0% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
1.7% | 2.2% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.4% | -1.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) |
|
1.4% | ||
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 2.089Mln |
Thursday 21 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Public Sector Net Borrowing | 16.613Bln GB | |||
| 13:30 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Business Index |
|
10.3 | 8.0 | |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
217k | 223k | |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
-0.9% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 15:00 |
|
Existing Home Sales |
|
3.84Mln | 3.93Mln | |
| 23:30 |
|
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year |
|
2.4% | 2.2% | |
| 23:30 |
|
CPI Overall Nationwide |
|
2.5% |
Friday 22 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-21 | -23 | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.3% | -0.3% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
3.9% | 3.4% | |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Year on Year |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Conditions |
|
64.4 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Expectation |
|
78.5 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Sentiment |
|
73.0 | 73.5 |
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