Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 17/02/25
Monday 17 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:30 | 
|
Industrial Production Revised |
|
0.3% | -0.2% | |
| 09:00 | 
|
Trade Balance |
|
-1.816Bln EU | -1.861Bln EU | |
| 10:00 | 
|
Trade Balance |
|
16.4Bln EU | +15.5Bln EU | |
| 13:15 | 
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
231.5k | 252.5k | 239.7k |
Tuesday 18 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:30 | 
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
4.35% | 4.10% | 4.10% |
| 07:00 | 
|
Unemployment Rate (ILO) |
|
4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
Claimant Count Unemployment Change |
|
0.7k | +22.0k | |
| 07:00 |
|
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year |
|
5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% |
| 07:45 | 
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | -0.2% | -0.2% |
| 07:45 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% |
| 10:00 | 
|
ZEW Economic sentiment |
|
10.3 | 20.0 | 26.0 |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Current Conditions |
|
-90.4 | -90.0 | -88.5 |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
-0.4% | 0.1% | +0.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Boc Core Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | +0.4% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI BoC Core Year on Year |
|
1.8% | +2.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
1.8% | 1.9% | +1.9% |
| 23:50 |
|
Exports Year on Year |
|
2.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% |
| 23:50 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
130.9Bln JP | -2100.5Bln JP | -2758.8Bln JP |
| 23:50 |
|
Imports Year on Year |
|
1.8% | 9.7% | 16.7% |
Wednesday 19 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | 
|
RBNZ Rate Decision |
|
4.25% | 3.75% | 3.75% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) |
|
1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Year on Year |
|
3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
2.5% | 2.8% | +3.0% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) |
|
0.0% | 0.3% | |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Month on Month |
|
0.3% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.3% | -0.3% | -0.1% |
| 13:30 | 
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.499Mln | 1.390Mln | 1.366Mln |
Thursday 20 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.0% | 4.1% | +4.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
0.8% | 1.3% | +0.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.6% | -0.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
213k | 215k | 219k |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
4.1% | 5.8% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Business Index |
|
44.3 | 20.0 | 18.1 |
| 17:00 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 4.070Mln | 3.144Mln | 4.633Mln | |
| 23:30 |
|
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year |
|
3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% |
| 23:30 |
|
CPI Overall Nationwide |
|
3.6% | 4.0% |
Friday 21 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-22 | -22 | -20 |
| 07:00 |
|
Public Sector Net Borrowing | 17.811Bln GB | -15.442Bln GB | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
3.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | 0.3% | 1.7% |
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.8% | |
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 1.6% | +2.5% |
| 15:00 |
|
Existing Home Sales |
|
4.24Mln | 4.12Mln | 4.08Mln |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Expectation |
|
67.3 | 64.0 | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Conditions |
|
68.7 | 65.7 | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Sentiment |
|
67.8 | 67.8 | 64.7 |
Monday 24 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 |
|
IFO Business Climate Expectations |
|
84.2 | 85.0 | |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
2.5% | 2.5% | |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
0.4% | -0.3% |
Tuesday 25 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Quarter on Quarter |
|
-0.2% | -0.2% | |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Year on Year |
|
-0.4% | ||
| 15:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
104.1 | 103.0 |
Wednesday 26 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-22.4 | -21.0 | |
| 07:45 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
92 | 93 | |
| 15:00 |
|
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month |
|
0.698Mln | 0.680Mln | |
| 15:00 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 4.633Mln |
Thursday 27 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.0% | ||
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.2% | 6.2% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
11k | 15k | |
| 09:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence | 98.2 | |||
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
95.2 | 96.0 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.94 | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-13.6 | -13.6 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
6.6 | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-12.9 | -12.0 | |
| 13:30 |
|
Durable Goods | -2.2% | 2.5% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
219k | 220k | |
| 15:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
-5.5% | -0.6% | |
| 23:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | -0.2% | -1.2% | ||
| 23:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
3.7% | 4.0% |
Friday 28 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
4.1% | 3.5% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.8% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.6% | -0.2% | |
| 07:45 |
|
GDP Detailed Quarter on Quarter | -0.1% | -0.1% | ||
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | -0.2% | 0.4% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised |
|
1.0% | 1.9% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.4% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
-0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.8% | 2.6% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.3% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.6% | 2.5% | |
| 14:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
2.8% |
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