Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 31/03/25
Monday 31 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | 
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
3.9% | 2.0% | +1.4% |
| 00:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | -1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | |
| 02:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
50.2 | 50.5 | 50.5 |
| 07:00 | 
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
2.9% | 3.1% | +4.9% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | +0.8% |
| 09:30 | 
|
Money Supply M4 | 1.3% | 0.2% | ||
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
Tuesday 01 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% |
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index |
|
14 | 12 | 12 |
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index |
|
33 | 33 | 35 |
| 01:30 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | +0.2% |
| 01:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.3 | 48.4 | ||
| 04:30 |
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
4.10% | 4.10% | 4.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.9% | 4.1% | +3.9% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
0.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.2% | ||
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 47.4 | 48.0 | 46.6 | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.9 | 48.9 | 48.5 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.3 | 48.3 | 48.3 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.7 | 48.7 | 48.6 | |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 44.6 | 44.6 | 44.9 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% |
| 14:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 47.8 | 46.3 | ||
| 15:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
50.3 | 49.5 | 49.0 |
Wednesday 02 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.9% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.0% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
0.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.2% | ||
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
77k | 115k | 155k |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -3.341Mln | -2.116Mln | 6.165Mln |
Thursday 03 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.0% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.9% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
0.7% | ||
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 53.0 | 52.5 | 52.0 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 46.6 | 46.6 | 47.9 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 50.2 | 50.2 | 50.9 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 50.4 | 50.4 | 50.9 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 50.4 | 50.4 | 51.0 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 53.2 | 53.2 | 52.5 | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
1.8% | 3.0% | +3.0% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.8% | 0.1% | +0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-131.4Bln US | -123.5Bln US | -122.66Bln US |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
3.97Bln CA | 3.55Bln CA | -1.52Bln CA |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
224k | 225k | 219k |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
53.5 | 53.0 | 50.8 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
53.9 | 46.2 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
52.2 | 50.4 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
54.4 | 55.9 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
62.6 | 60.9 |
Friday 04 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | -0.6% | 0.4% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
0.90% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
-0.40% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.6% | 6.7% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.1% | 4.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
151k | 135k |
Monday 07 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 |
|
Consumer Sentiment |
|
4.0% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
16.0Bln EU | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
2.0% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
-0.1% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.5% |
Tuesday 08 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-6.540Bln EU |
Wednesday 09 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:00 | 
|
RBNZ Rate Decision |
|
3.75% | 3.50% | |
| 06:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
35.0 | ||
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 6.165Mln |
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