Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 07/04/25


Monday 07 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Sentiment Consumer Sentiment Chart 4.0%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 2.0% -0.8% -1.3%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 0.7%
House Price Index UK (Halifax) House Price Index UK (Halifax) Chart -0.1% 0.1% -0.5%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 3.9%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 16.0Bln EU 17.0Bln EU +17.7Bln EU
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.2%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.0%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.5% 1.9% +2.3%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.3% 0.4% +0.3%

Tuesday 08 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Sentiment Consumer Sentiment Chart 4.0% -6.0%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.0%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.2%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 3.9%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 0.7%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -6.540Bln EU -5.850Bln EU -7.87Bln EU

Wednesday 09 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
RBNZ Rate Decision RBNZ Rate Decision Chart 3.75% 3.50% 3.50%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 35.0 34.1
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.2%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 3.9%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.0%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 0.7%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   6.165Mln 1.421Mln 2.553Mln

Thursday 10 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Month on Month (China) CPI Month on Month (China) Chart -0.2% -0.3% -0.4%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -2.2% -2.3% -2.5%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 3.9%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.0%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 0.7%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.2% -0.1%
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Chart -0.6% -1.9% -2.7%
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Chart 3.2% -1.0% -0.9%
CPI Year on Year (nsa) CPI Year on Year (nsa) Chart 2.8% 2.6% 2.4%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 219k 223k 223k
CPI Month on Month (sa) CPI Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%

Friday 11 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 0.7%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart -1.5% -2.3% 0.1%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.0%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -17.849Bln GB -17.550Bln GB -20.809Bln GB
Manufacturing Output Year on Year Manufacturing Output Year on Year Chart -1.5% -2.4% 0.3%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.2% -0.1%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 3.9%
Manufacturing Output Month on Month Manufacturing Output Month on Month Chart -1.1% 0.2% 2.2%
Trade Balance Non-EU Trade Balance Non-EU Chart -7.074Bln GB -8.578Bln GB
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -0.9% 0.0% 1.5%
PPI Final Demand Month on Month PPI Final Demand Month on Month Chart 0.0% 0.2%
PPI excl Food and Energy MM PPI excl Food and Energy MM Chart -0.1% 0.3%
PPI Core Year on Year PPI Core Year on Year Chart 3.2% 3.3%

Monday 14 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Revised Industrial Production Revised Chart 2.5%

Tuesday 15 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Chart 0.9%
Claimant Count Unemployment Change Claimant Count Unemployment Change Chart 44.2k
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Chart 5.8%
Unemployment Rate (ILO) Unemployment Rate (ILO) Chart 4.4% 4.4%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 0.9% 0.9%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.2%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart 0.0% -0.8%
Industrial Production Month on Month   0.8% 0.1%
ZEW Current Conditions ZEW Current Conditions Chart -87.6 -86.0
ZEW Economic sentiment ZEW Economic sentiment Chart 51.6 10.0
House Starts Annualized House Starts Annualized Chart 229.0k
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart 1.1%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 2.6%
CPI Boc Core Month on Month CPI Boc Core Month on Month Chart 0.7%
CPI BoC Core Year on Year CPI BoC Core Year on Year Chart 2.7%

Wednesday 16 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 4.0% 4.2%
China GDP Year on Year China GDP Year on Year Chart 5.4% 5.1%
RPI Month on Month RPI Month on Month Chart 0.6%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 2.8% 2.7%
RPI Year on Year RPI Year on Year Chart 3.4%
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart 0.4%
CPI Final Month on Month   1.6%
CPI Final Year on Year   2.1% 2.1%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.4%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 2.2% 2.2%
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month   0.3% 0.2%
Retail Sales Month on Month   0.2% 1.3%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.7% -0.3%
BoC Rate Decision   2.75%
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.3%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   2.553Mln
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 2.2% 2.3%
CPI Quarter on Quarter CPI Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.5% 0.7%

Thursday 17 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Imports Year on Year Imports Year on Year Chart -0.7% 3.1%
Exports Year on Year Exports Year on Year Chart 11.4% 4.5%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 584.5Bln JP 485.3Bln JP
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 4.1% 4.2%
Housing Starts Housing Starts Chart 1.501Mln 1.410Mln
Philadelphia Fed Business Index Philadelphia Fed Business Index Chart 12.5
ECB Rate Decision ECB Rate Decision Chart 2.65% 2.40%

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