Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 27/01/25
Monday 27 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
50.1 | 50.1 | 49.1 |
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
4.7% | 4.3% | |
| 09:00 | 
|
IFO Business Climate Expectations |
|
84.4 | 84.2 | 84.2 |
| 15:00 | 
|
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month |
|
0.664Mln | 0.675Mln | 0.698Mln |
Tuesday 28 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
89 | 90 | 92 |
| 13:30 |
|
Durable Goods | -1.2% | 0.6% | -2.2% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
104.7 | 105.6 | 104.1 |
Wednesday 29 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
2.8% | 2.5% | |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 05:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
36.2 | ||
| 07:00 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-21.3 | -20.0 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence | 96.3 | 96.0 | ||
| 14:45 | 
|
BoC Rate Decision | 3.25% | 3.00% | ||
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -1.017Mln | 3.194Mln | ||
| 19:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 4.375% | 4.375% |
Thursday 30 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.4% | 0.0% | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter | 0.0% | 0.1% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year |
|
0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year |
|
0.1% | -0.3% | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.1% | -0.1% | |
| 09:30 |
|
Money Supply M4 | 0.0% | |||
| 10:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-14.2 | -14.2 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-14.1 | -13.8 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
93.7 | 94.1 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.91 | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.3% | 6.3% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
5.9 | 6.0 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 5.7% | 5.7% | ||
| 13:15 |
|
ECB Rate Decision |
|
3.15% | 2.90% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
223k | 220k | |
| 15:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
2.2% | 0.0% | |
| 23:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.5% | 2.5% | |
| 23:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
2.8% | 3.2% | |
| 23:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | -2.2% | 0.3% |
Friday 31 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
3.9% | ||
| 00:30 |
|
PPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.9% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
4.7% | 4.3% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
2.5% | 2.5% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
3.2% | ||
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
10k | 14k | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.1% | 6.2% | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-0.5% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.2% | ||
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.5% | 0.1% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.3% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.4% | 2.6% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.3% | -0.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.8% | 2.8% | |
| 14:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
1.8% |
Monday 03 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.8% | ||
| 00:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.8 | |||
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 46.2 | |||
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 45.3 | |||
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 44.1 | |||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 46.1 | |||
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.2 | |||
| 14:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.2 | |||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
49.3 |
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