Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 24/03/25
Tuesday 25 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | 
|
IFO Business Climate Expectations |
|
85.4 | 87.5 | 87.7 |
| 14:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
98.3 | 94.0 | 92.9 |
| 14:00 |
|
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month |
|
0.657Mln | 0.679Mln | 0.676Mln |
Wednesday 26 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 
|
RPI Year on Year |
|
3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
3.0% | 2.9% | +2.8% |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.5% | +0.4% |
| 07:45 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
93 | 94 | 92 |
| 09:00 | 
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | 3.4 | -10.7 | ||
| 12:30 |
|
Durable Goods | 3.2% | -1.0% | 0.9% | |
| 13:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 1.745Mln | -0.956Mln | ||
| 14:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 1.745Mln | -0.956Mln | -3.341Mln |
Thursday 27 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 |
|
GDP Deflator |
|
2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% |
| 12:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
223k | 225k | 224k |
| 12:30 |
|
GDP Final |
|
2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% |
| 14:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
-4.6% | 1.0% | +2.0% |
Friday 28 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance Non-EU |
|
-6.098Bln GB | -7.074Bln GB | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
1.7% | -0.4% | 1.0% |
| 07:00 |
|
Current Account |
|
-18.099Bln GB | -23.445Bln GB | |
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-17.447Bln GB | -16.800Bln GB | -17.849Bln GB |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.0% | 0.5% | 2.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-24.7 | -22.7 | -24.5 |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Final Year on Year | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.7% | -0.8% | |
| 07:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.2% | 6.2% | |
| 07:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
5k | 10k | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
5k | 10k | 26k |
| 09:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence | 98.8 | 98.8 | 95.0 | |
| 10:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-14.5 | -14.5 | -14.5 |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-11.4 | -10.5 | -10.6 |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
96.3 | 97.0 | 95.2 |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
6.2 | 6.7 | 2.4 |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.74 | -0.73 | |
| 11:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
4.4% | 6.2% | |
| 11:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.6% | 0.7% | |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| 12:30 | 
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.3% | +0.4% |
| 12:30 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% |
| 12:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| 13:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
2.5% | 3.0% | |
| 14:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Conditions |
|
63.5 | 63.8 | |
| 14:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Sentiment |
|
57.9 | 57.9 | 57.0 |
| 14:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Expectation |
|
54.2 | 52.6 |
Monday 31 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | 
|
Industrial Production Prelim | -1.1% | 2.3% | ||
| 00:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
3.9% | 2.0% | |
| 02:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
50.2 | 50.5 | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
2.9% | 3.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 09:30 |
|
Money Supply M4 | 1.3% | |||
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.4% | 0.4% |
Tuesday 01 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.5% | 2.5% | |
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index |
|
14 | 12 | |
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index |
|
33 | 33 | |
| 01:30 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 01:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.3 | |||
| 04:30 |
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
4.10% | 4.10% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.9% | 4.2% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 47.4 | 48.0 | ||
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.9 | 48.9 | ||
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.3 | 48.3 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 6.3% | 6.3% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.7 | 48.7 | ||
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 44.6 | 44.6 | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.2% | 6.2% | |
| 14:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 47.8 | |||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
50.3 | 49.5 |
Wednesday 02 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
77k | 105k | |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -3.341Mln |
Thursday 03 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 53.0 | 52.5 | ||
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 46.6 | 46.6 | ||
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 50.2 | 50.2 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 50.4 | 50.4 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 50.4 | 50.4 | ||
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 53.2 | 53.2 | ||
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
1.8% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.8% | 0.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
224k | 225k | |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
3.97Bln CA | 3.40Bln CA | |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-131.4Bln US | -123.5Bln US | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
62.6 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
52.2 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
53.5 | 53.0 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
54.4 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
53.9 |
Friday 04 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | -0.6% | 0.3% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
-0.40% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
0.90% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.1% | 4.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.6% | 6.7% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
151k | 140k | |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.3% | 0.3% |
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