Financial Trading Blog

Stock of the day 07/10/2015 – Tate & Lyle PLC




After a tumultuous 2014, Tate & Lyle started the New Year at £6.10, and had soon risen to £6.81 by the end of January. That high, however, was to quickly become a distant memory, as the company issued its third profit warning in 12 months at the start of February, this time with the sugar and oil price slump blamed for Tate & Lyle’s poor performance. This took the stock all the way back to £5.73, effectively a 14% drop in one day of trading, and Tate & Lyle’s lowest prince in 6 weeks.

From this low the stock managed to climb beyond the £6 mark, boosted by an April trading statement that promised a new strategy to deal with the wealth of troubles Tate & Lyle had been suffering since 2014. The spectre of a Splenda-saving plan helped lift the stock to £6.50, only for the restructuring reveal, the key components of which included the sale of its remaining bulk ingredients businesses in Europe and a scaled-back sucralose operation, to put Tate & Lyle back on a declining path.

Tate & Lyle PLC Chart October 2015
(Source: IT-Finance.com 07/10/2015)

Dipping below the £6 threshold on the eve of its full year results at the end of May, those figures merely added fuel to Tate & Lyle’s sell-off fire. A 30% fall in pre-tax profits (to £224 million) was joined by a dismal £51 million in gains (down from £277 million year-on-year) once the company’s pricey restructuring costs were factored in.

A near uninterrupted fall across June, and stagnation for most of July, saw Tate & Lyle trading between £5 and £5.20, its lowest price since 2010. There was, however, some rare good news at the end of July, when the company announced that it had begun to ship its new sweetener Dolcia Prima to the US and Chile, whilst stating that Splenda had seen a slightly improved performance in the company’s first quarter.

This update put Tate & Lyle back on track and, barring a China-inspired excursion to below £5 at the end of August and despite news of £18 million in damages to be paid to American Sugar Refining, is now at £5.80 (IT-Finance.com, 07/10/2015), the stock’s highest price since the start of July.

Investors will be hoping to see a profit-recovery after the restructuring costs incurred earlier in the year, alongside a more robust performance from Splenda after that slight pick-up in Q1.

Tate & Lyle has a consensus rating of ‘Hold’ alongside an average target price of £6.05.


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