Financial Trading Blog

Stock of the day 13/04/2015 – Poundland Group PLC




Since its opened trading at £3.56 back in March of last year, things haven’t necessarily been smooth sailing for the bargain store chain. The company fell to its all-time low of £2.85 in the middle of May, and then spent the rest of 2014 trading between £3.10 and £3.20. Poundland opened 2015 at £3.25 before hitting a low of £3.16 early in January. However, come the 10th February, Poundland had rocketed to £4.20 after it was announced that the company had put in a £55 million big for its main bargain chain rival 99p Stores.

Poundland Chart April 2015
(Source: IT-Finance.com 13/04/2015)

Yet the scrutiny this deal has come under has sent the stock to a current trading price of £3.26; in fact, Poundland’s stock has fallen 13 out of the past 14 trading days, often by 1.5-4.5%. The initial 15.36% gains seen in the aftermath of that deal announcement has been completely lost, with Poundland now trading below its pre-deal price. Poundland’s CEO James McCarthy said he was ‘disappointed and surprised’ by the claims that a full scale investigation into the takeover deal is required, with reports circulating that the company may have to sell 80 of its stores to satisfy the Competition and Markets Authority that the takeover of 99p Stores won’t create too large a market dominance by Poundland.

Whilst the progress of this deal has been Poundland’s main focus, the company should also be announcing its first quarter results for 2015, with analysts forecasting full-year sales of £1.12 billion and adjusted pre-tax profits of £44 million, this latter figure being a 23% increase on this time last year. The strong figures forecasts have countered the bearish situation surrounding the 99p Stores deal, leading to an average rating of ‘hold’ alongside a consensus target price of £3.63.


DISCLAIMER


Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investors lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. For professional clients, spread betting and CFD trading can also result in losses larger than your initial stake or deposit.

Spreadex Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, provides an execution only service and does not provide advice in any way. Nothing within this update should be deemed to constitute the provision of investment advice, recommendations, any other professional advice in any way, or a record of our trading prices. This update does not constitute or form part of an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument, nor shall it or the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract therefore. Any persons placing trades based on their interpretation of the comments or information within this update does so entirely at their own risk.

No representation, warranty, or undertaking, express or limited, is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained within this update by Spreadex Ltd or any of its employees and no liability is accepted by such persons for the accuracy or completeness of any such information or opinions. As such, no reliance may be placed for any purpose on the information and opinions contained within this update.

The information contained within this update is the intellectual property of Spreadex Ltd and is protected by UK and International copyright laws. All rights reserved. Users may however freely download, distribute and reproduce extracts of the contents, subject always to accrediting Spreadex Ltd as the source and providing a hyperlink to www.spreadex.com.