Financial Trading Blog

Stock of the day 30/08/2016 – Abercrombie & Fitch Co




It’s been a rough few years for Abercrombie. Back in 2007 the stock was trading at all-time highs of nearly $85; flash forward just shy of a decade and the company is worth around a quarter of that price, the stock currently sitting at $22.95 (IT-Finance.com, 30/08/2016).

Abercrombie & Fitch Co Chart August 2016 Spreadex Financial Spread Betting
(Source: IT-Finance.com 30/08/2016)

At the start of 2016, however, it seemed things were looking up for Abercrombie. After opening at $26.66 the stock had climbed to $32.82 by the start of March, with that 16 month high struck in part thanks to an unexpected increase in fourth quarter sales.

However Abercrombie couldn’t remain at this 2016 peak for long, and by the beginning of April things had begun to go south for the stock. Its gradual decline (around $7 per share in 6 weeks) only accelerated in the aftermath of its first quarter report on May 26th. Plunging nearly 16% in a single session Abercrombie posted a 3% fall in revenue alongside a quarterly loss of $40 million, with like-for-like sales at its titular brand suffering an 8% slide (against the 0.6% decline forecast).

Things aren’t expected to have improved for Abercrombie in the second quarter, a fact made all the more worrying considering the 15%-surge inspiring success of Urban Outfitters over the same period. Analysts are forecasting a loss of 20 cents per share against the 12 cents per share profit seen this time last year, with revenue estimated to drop by 4.3% to $782.6 million, marking a 14th consecutive quarter of sliding sales.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co has a consensus rating of ‘Hold’ with an average target price of $24.52.

DISCLAIMER


Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investors lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. For professional clients, spread betting and CFD trading can also result in losses larger than your initial stake or deposit.

Spreadex Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, provides an execution only service and does not provide advice in any way. Nothing within this update should be deemed to constitute the provision of investment advice, recommendations, any other professional advice in any way, or a record of our trading prices. This update does not constitute or form part of an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument, nor shall it or the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract therefore. Any persons placing trades based on their interpretation of the comments or information within this update does so entirely at their own risk.

No representation, warranty, or undertaking, express or limited, is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained within this update by Spreadex Ltd or any of its employees and no liability is accepted by such persons for the accuracy or completeness of any such information or opinions. As such, no reliance may be placed for any purpose on the information and opinions contained within this update.

The information contained within this update is the intellectual property of Spreadex Ltd and is protected by UK and International copyright laws. All rights reserved. Users may however freely download, distribute and reproduce extracts of the contents, subject always to accrediting Spreadex Ltd as the source and providing a hyperlink to www.spreadex.com.