Spreadex Market Update

FTSE 100 edges lower



The FTSE 100 has edged lower during today’s session after failing to break through resistance levels, indicating a fading conviction amongst buyers. Technical traders have been spooked by a lack of appetite from the bulls with many seeing current market conditions as an opportunity to take profits. The FTSE is up around 12 percent year-to-date but has struggled to make much headway since the start of August as investors fret about a possible reduction of British and U.S. monetary stimulus in the coming months.

U.S stock futures are in the red again, signalling a further retreat after last week’s considerable losses. Whilst a slowdown in the Japanese economy has been cited as a reason behind the sell-off, the realisation that the Fed will most likely trim their monthly bond purchases to $65 billion when they next meet to discuss monetary policy on Sept 18th has begun to take its toll.

Whilst bond investors seek to predict when the Fed will reduce its unprecedented monetary stimulus, riskier parts of the debt market are booming like before the financial crisis. The amount of loans made this year that lack standard protections for lenders exceed the all-time high set in 2007.

While Fed policy makers say employment and inflation will be the primary determinants of when and by how much they reduce the $85 billion a month being pushed into the economy every month through bond purchases, signs of excessive risk-taking are likely to also play a part. With the Fed failing to meet its mandates with respect to employment and inflation, risk management has taken a more central role, as opposed to a sole focus on economic data.

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