Spreadex Market Update

Talk of Greek ‘Plan B’ sends markets tumbling




News that EU officials were now seriously considering ‘Plan B’, i.e. a Greek default, sent ripples of negativity through an already sinking market as investors were once against spooked by the chances of a Grexit. The DAX is now roughly where it was at the start of the week: looking at the spike on Thursday things could be a lot better; looking at the lows on Tuesday it could be a lot worse.

In telling news, polls came out today showing that the majority of Germans would now rather a Greek exit, a big swing considering in January the majority wanted to keep them in; whilst these kinds of surveys aren’t representative of what will actually happen, it does act as a rather neat microcosm of the journey of alienation Greece has put itself on in the past few months. With the Eurogroup meeting next Thursday this broken record is guaranteed to continue; it will be interesting to see how long it can play on before the record is turned off and thrown in the bin.

With the Greek situation dragging everything down with its mucky hands, the US markets also had to endure another set of positive data that saw a better than expected PPI figure alongside a very strong preliminary UoM consumer sentiment number. This hawk-boosting news, coming off the back of that muscular non-farm figure this time last week, gave the Dow a rate-hike and dollar-strength fearing headache, and pushed it back below the 18000 level it had only just re-crossed on Wednesday.

Of course, where the Eurozone goes the FTSE follows, and with notable losses for Shell and BP representative of the rest of the oil sector, the UK index sank back to where it was on Monday. Hopefully next week should bring with its slightly more UK-inspired FTSE movements, as the latest inflation figures are revealed on Tuesday, with a flurry of jobs data released on Wednesday and retail sales on Thursday. The FTSE could do with a string of positive figures to shake it from its Eurozone dependency, so it will be interesting to see whether it gets what it needs.



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