Spreadex Market Update

OPEC cuts oil demand outlook, whilst pre-Fed jitters infect Dow Jones




Abandoning its earlier losses for a far more flat tone of trading the Dow Jones remains at its highest point(ish) since the year began, sporadically crossing the 17200 mark as the day wore on. Yet the index may struggle to seriously build on this 2016 peak until after Wednesday’s Fed meeting, lingering uncertainty over what the central bank will do preventing investors from buying in the continued rally seen over in Europe. At least Tuesday provides investors with something else to focus on (even if every piece of data will be drawn back to how it impacts any potential decision from the Fed) with retail sales and the Empire State manufacturing index set to arrive before the bell.

On a day light on data Brent Crude dominated discussion, and not in a good way. Investors turned on the black stuff as Monday continued, a 3% fall sending the commodity to a week low, the sell-off fuelled by Iran’s continued oil output freeze obstinacy. However, despite a gloomy report from OPEC that saw the oil cabal cut its demand expectations by 100,000 barrels per day for 2016 as a whole, news that production fell in February helped ease Brent Crude’s losses, lifting it above the $39 per barrel mark it was threatening to dip below.

Against the odds the FTSE held onto a 40 point rise this Monday, ignoring the smattering of red in its commodity sector to follow the DAX’s lead. Tuesday is set to be another quiet day for the UK index, likely leaving it under Brent Crude’s influence once again, things not hotting up for the FTSE until Wednesday’s jobs report/Osborne budget double whammy.

 

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