Spreadex Market Update

Oil rebound sees FTSE ignore mixed jobs report to hit fresh 2 week high




The FTSE was under the spotlight this Wednesday, the latest unemployment and wage growth figures painting a rather mixed picture of the current jobs climate in the UK. Coming in at an as expected 1.9% the average earnings index was still arguably the biggest disappointment, putting wage growth at a one year low and dismissing any (prematurely) hawkish hopes that may have arisen from Tuesday’s solid inflation figure. The unemployment rate, meanwhile, arrived unchanged at a still-impressive 5.1%, missing the analysts’ forecast that would have seen the figure reach 5.0% for the first time since 2008’s second quarter.

Yet with Brent Crude just about rising back to $33 per barrel on (naïve?) hopes that Iran, Iraq and Venezuela will agree to yesterday’s market-displeasing (but still better than nothing) oil output deal drawn up between Russia and Saudi Arabia the FTSE ignored the more worrisome aspects of the jobs report to surge by around 100 points as the morning continued. The Eurozone was similarly buoyant, the DAX and CAC each rising just over 2%.

Next up is a long afternoon of data for the US markets, which are currently looking slightly more reticent than their European peers. If the Dow (set for a 0.5% jump at the open) can join in with the more robust gains seen in Europe will likely be dependent on the state of the building permits (forecast to see a minimal rise to 1.21m from 1.20m), PPI (expected unchanged at -0.2%) and industrial production (looking to rebound to 0.3% from last month’s -0.4%) figures, all released before the bell.

 

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