Spreadex Market Update

Greek optimism withstands tempered comments from key creditors




Reports suggest that the latest Greek proposal does indeed include pension and VAT reforms; the former would see a ‘gradual’ increase of the retirement age to 67, whilst the latter would see more items taxed at the top VAT rate. However, the creditor soundbite remains that this is a good basis for discussion, not the deal-unlocking bridge the Greeks desperately need.

Key figures have been keen to take the pressure off of this Monday’s summit, with Juncker stating he 'doesn't know if we'll get a deal today', whilst Merkel and Hollande both reiterated that there are still a few days, and another summit, following this evening’s meeting for a deal to be found. Yet these mild warnings failed to change the tone of trading, with investors acting as if a deal is signed, sealed and delivered; whilst this is all well and good, it does leave room for a sharp drop if investors put too much stock in a deal arriving at some point today.

This robust positivity showed no signs of slowing down in the UK, as the FTSE held onto its one week highs; of course, the UK index remains on the leash of the Eurozone, so any change in atmosphere from Brussels could have steep ramifications for the FTSE.

With the focus firmly on Brussels-based Greek business, the US futures are following the European lead; this has left the Dow Jones up by nearly a percent, and close to last Thursday’s highs, ahead of the open. Unlike Europe, the US actually has some data to deal with, however limited, with the announcement of the latest existing home sales. Analysts are expecting a recovery from last month’s slip, something that could either boost the Dow or help the dollar, depending on how much the interest rate debate is on investors’ minds.



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