Spreadex Market Update

Yesterday the most volatile day of the year so far



The plummeting of prices across risk assets after the European close made yesterday the most volatile day of the year so far. FTSE 100, Dax futures and the Dow all collapsed on news that Italy faces political deadlock, creating a cold wave of uncertainty for investors all too familiar with a Europe fractured. Implied volatility spiked dramatically.

Market participants must now appraise the extent to just how viable this event is as a catalyst for capturing downside. Indeed, this is not the first time this year that markets have attempted to sell off heavily, but all evidence so far this year has pointed to the dips being bought, with little in the way of prolonged negative price action. So, the first half of the European session today is crucial; if this is to be the beginning of the first large period of sustained selling this year, today will probably provide some clues.

The rate of panic has been illustrated no better by the heavy flows into Yen, Dollars and fixed income. Unsurprisingly, Italian 10yr notes have been punished, yielding now 4.8%.

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