Spreadex Market Update
Volumes still anemic
With stocks performing vicariously through a quickening US recovery and hope for a Eurozone resolution, equities look more comfortable at these near-term highs than they might otherwise do.
In fact, the significant underperformers of 2011, namely financials, have so far strongly outperformed, signalling the root cause of the financials-led, balance sheet recession is tempering into Q1 2012. It is true that, if buying is to continue, financials must be central to any rally.
But with volumes still anaemic and with a Greek deal not formally concluded, fat-tail risk remains. And until clarity is provided, the risk profile that Greece presents to the market could be argued to outweigh an increasingly priced-in upside courtesy of the US recovery.
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