Spreadex Market Update
Plenty to talk about
Equities and risk assets have held up well in spite of sentiment worsening, as investors eye headline risks from all corners of the global economy. According to headlines and news flows, the market seems well-positioned and prepared to sell risk against a challenging macro backdrop, particularly as earnings have the ability to disappoint, too. But alternatives to the equity market have, to at least some extent, been already exhausted. Negative real yields on 10yr bonds describe the picture well.
Thus, so long as money remains cheap, and the world’s most powerful central banks can support prices, bulls still have reason to target upside so long as fundamentals can accommodate. For the bears, however, gold remains a play against the collapse of fiat currencies. And with volatility cheap and stock indices breaking new highs, buying puts to insure against collapse for even the most ardent optimists is becoming a strategy hard to ignore.
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