Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 22/04/24
Monday 22 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:30 | 
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.7% | -0.5% |
Tuesday 23 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 
|
Public Sector Net Borrowing | 7.477Bln GB | 11.015Bln GB | ||
| 15:00 | 
|
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month |
|
0.662Mln | 0.670Mln | 0.693Mln |
Wednesday 24 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 | 
|
CPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% |
| 02:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% |
| 09:00 | 
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | 11.5 | 17.6 | ||
| 09:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence | 96.5 | 96.9 | 95.2 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
IFO Business Climate Expectations |
|
87.5 | 88.7 | 89.9 |
| 13:30 |
|
Durable Goods | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | 0.1% | -0.1% |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 2.735Mln | 0.825Mln | -6.368Mln |
Thursday 25 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-27.4 | -26.0 | -24.2 |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
212k | 215k | 207k |
| 15:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
1.6% | 0.8% | +3.4% |
Friday 26 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-21 | -20 | -19 |
| 02:30 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
4.1% | +4.3% | |
| 02:30 |
|
PPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.9% | +0.9% | |
| 07:45 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
91 | 92 | 90 |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 14:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
3.4% | 2.9% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Expectation |
|
77.0 | 76.0 | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Conditions |
|
79.3 | 79.0 | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Sentiment |
|
77.9 | 77.9 | 77.2 |
Monday 29 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | 
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.30 | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
6.3 | 6.7 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-8.8 | -8.6 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
96.3 | 96.7 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-14.7 | -14.7 | |
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.4% | 0.6% |
Tuesday 30 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.6% | 2.5% | |
| 00:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
4.6% | 2.2% | |
| 00:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | -0.6% | 3.5% | ||
| 02:30 |
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 02:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
50.8 | 50.4 | |
| 06:30 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-2.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.9% | 1.5% | |
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-1.7% | ||
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
5.9% | 5.9% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
4k | 9k | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year |
|
-0.4% | -0.8% | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year |
|
0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter |
|
-0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter | 0.2% | 0.1% | ||
| 09:30 |
|
Money Supply M4 | 0.5% | |||
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
104.7 | 104.0 |
Wednesday 01 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.9 | |||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
1.6% | ||
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.7 | 48.7 | ||
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
184k | 175k | |
| 14:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.8 | |||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
50.3 | 50.1 | |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -6.368Mln | |||
| 19:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 5.375% | 5.375% |
Thursday 02 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
39.5 | ||
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.4 | 50.0 | ||
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 44.9 | 44.9 | ||
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 42.2 | 42.2 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-10.8% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 45.6 | 45.6 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-1.0% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
1.39Bln CA | 1.46Bln CA | |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
207k | 212k | |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-68.9Bln US | -69.1Bln US | |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
1.4% | 1.6% |
Friday 03 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 0.2% | 0.4% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 7.5% | 7.5% | ||
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 54.9 | 54.9 | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.5% | 6.5% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
303k | 245k | |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
3.8% | 3.8% | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
53.4 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
48.5 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
57.4 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
54.4 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
51.4 | 52.0 |
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