Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 06/05/24


Monday 06 May

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Services   54.6 54.0 54.3
PMI Services   50.5 50.5 51.3
PMI Services   53.3 53.3 53.2
PMI Services   52.9 52.9 53.3
PMI Composite   51.4 51.4 51.7
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -8.3% -7.7% -7.8%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -1.0% -0.4% -0.4%

Tuesday 07 May

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Chart 3.2% -4.4%
RBA Cash Rate RBA Cash Rate Chart 4.35% 4.35% 4.35%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 21.4Bln EU 22.2Bln EU 22.3Bln EU
House Price Index UK (Halifax) House Price Index UK (Halifax) Chart -1.0% 0.1%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -5.244Bln EU -5.473Bln EU
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.5% 0.7% 0.8%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -0.7% -0.2% 0.7%

Wednesday 08 May

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 2.1% -0.6% -0.4%
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Chart 2.40% 2.00%
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.10% 0.00%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   7.265Mln -1.066Mln -1.362Mln

Thursday 09 May

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
BoE Rate Decision BoE Rate Decision Chart 5.25% 5.25%
MPC Vote For Rate Cut   1 2
MPC Vote For Rate Hike   0 0
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged   8 7
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 208k 215k 231k

Friday 10 May

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter Chart -0.3% 0.4% 0.6%
Manufacturing Output Month on Month Manufacturing Output Month on Month Chart 1.2% -0.4% 0.3%
Manufacturing Output Year on Year Manufacturing Output Year on Year Chart 2.7% 1.8% 2.3%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 1.1% -0.4% 0.2%
GDP Prelim Year on Year   -0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
Trade Balance Non-EU Trade Balance Non-EU Chart -2.895Bln GB -3.811Bln GB
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart 1.4% 0.3% 0.5%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -14.212Bln GB -14.400Bln GB -13.967Bln GB
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.1% 0.3% -0.5%
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Chart -3.1% -3.5%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.1% 6.2% 6.1%

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