Spreadex Market Update

Greek/German stagnation drags Eurozone down




Yet lukewarm is enough for the FTSE at the moment; like the DAX earlier in the year, even the smallest of daily gains now is likely to push the UK index into record highs.

Most of the positives for the UK index this afternoon came from its oil and mining sectors; Vedanta Resources saw big gains as copper held onto the near 7% upswing it has seen since last Thursday. Meanwhile the latest rebound in oil allowed the volatile oil stocks a moments rest before the next inevitable decline; today the big winners were Cairn Energy and Petrofac, which spent the day in the green following Brent Crude’s rally.

However, whilst the FTSE remains circling new records, the pound spent the day suffering against the dollar. Unlike the euro, which has gained some mild-resilience as the freshness of ECB QE recedes into the background, the looming, and incredibly uncertain, election is causing sterling new woes, something sure to increase throughout April.

In his European Parliament testimony, Draghi claimed that Eurozone inflation is expected to rise to 1.5% in 2016, whilst cheap oil and the weak euro continue to help the region’s recovery. On the Greek issue Draghi largely towed the Eurogroup line, stating that signs of real, and specific, reforms are needed before more money will be made available. The current Greek-debt stagnation, something unlikely to really change by the end of the day, left the Eurozone indices flailing to more losses. Yet despite the Eurozone’s declines, or indeed because of it, the euro has taken plenty back from the dollar today, and is on track to close at its best price since it collapsed after the implementation of ECB QE.

There was little to write home about the US market’s Monday afternoon, with only a slightly improved, but still troubling, existing home sales figure to tide investors over. Yet the Dow Jones still saw growth, maintaining its post-18100 level without having to do much else. The US markets as a whole appear to be coasting on the fact that the dollar spent the day struggling against the euro; as has been the trend of late, bad news for the greenback inspires growth in the markets, however mild.



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