Spreadex Market Update

Eurozone indices jittery ahead of important inflation data




Expectations of action from Mario Draghi and co. have got the region’s investors in a tizzy in the past fortnight, even if the last few days have seen those same expectations tempered by decent data. Such a trend leaves the DAX and CAC up a mere 15 and 5 points respectively, though with some important region-wide CPI data still to come.

Given that the region’s failure to reach its inflation targets is one of the main reasons the Eurozone’s central bank is considering another injection of QE, this Wednesday’s figures perhaps carry slightly more weight than they have of late. Analysts are anticipating stagnation in the core number (at 1.1%) alongside a slight improvement in the normal figure, rising to 0.2% from an already upwardly revised 0.1% last month, something that may not be received well by the Eurozone indices (but could be a potential short-term boost for the euro).

In comparison to its European and US peers the FTSE lacks any real macro-clout at the moment, largely just trading as dictated by its commodity sector. This morning a solid(ish) display from its oil and mining stocks have allowed the UK index to jump by around 25 points, crossing the 6400 mark to leave it around 40 points away from its recent highs at the start of November. After a weaker than forecast manufacturing PMI yesterday, however, the wind could be taken out of the FTSE’s sails with a similar showing from its construction PMI (which is expected to drop to 58.4 from 58.8 last month).


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