Spreadex Market Update

China's manufacturing data improving



The main story this morning, that China’s improving manufacturing data continued to support last week’s gains, has now been challenged by a worse-than-expected ISM manufacturing number, one that has printed below the 50 break-even level at 49.5, highlighting contraction.

It’s certainly positive for those remaining bullish equities that the market can be seen to extend liquidity and calm ahead of what remains the last real headline risk before the new year, the fiscal cliff. But if data points into the festive period worsen more so than anticipated, then the market will likely reflect any such detrition.

Indeed, if this belief by Investors that current prices are reflecting well the present value of expected future cash flow is to find longevity, figures like today’s must be seldom seen. The Dow trades largely unchanged at 13,028.

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