Spreadex Market Update

Noxious start to the New Year continues with awful US manufacturing data




Sporadically threatening to dive past the 400 point plunge mark, the Dow saw a slightly better than expected, but still over-3 year low, Markit manufacturing PMI joined by an ISM manufacturing figure that came in at a truly dismal 48.2 against the 49.1 forecast. It paints a worrying picture of the US manufacturing landscape, one that exacerbated the already intense (China-inspired) fears that had arisen this Monday and helped the European indices double down on their losses.

Down around 130 points things actually could have been worse for the FTSE this Monday. One of the day’s few bright spots has been the robust rebound from Brent Crude (even if its rally has arisen from the growing, and worrying, tension between Saudi Arabia and Iran), meaning the likes of Shell, Tullow Oil and Premier Oil went against the grain this afternoon to post varying levels of growth. Yet the weight of the UK mining stocks was too heavy to create any real mitigating effects, leaving the FTSE at its current near 2 week low.

The European fun didn’t stop with the FTSE; if anything the Eurozone was the sight of the worst declines this Monday, despite having a far better set of manufacturing PMIs than both its US and UK peers. The DAX, which always relishes an opportunity for drama, at points dropped by nearly 450 points as the afternoon crawled on, with the normally calmer CAC posting a 2.5% fall. That leaves both indices in firm 3 week low territory, with a fall below their recent mid-December nadirs more than possible if this aggressively negative atmosphere extends into Tuesday.

 

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