Spreadex Market Update

Dull non-farm data can’t deter dollar bulls




Non-farm was slightly lower than expected at 215k, a solid is not particularly number but one that brought with it upward revisions for May and June. The unemployment rate, meanwhile, remained strong at 5.3% whilst wage growth matched forecasts at 0.2%.

The figures themselves may not have been too thrilling, but they appear to add to the hawkish case, especially since the jobs created are largely in full-time employment, providing no real obstacle for the long-rumoured September rate-hike. The dollar bulls certainly took it this way, with the greenback surging against the euro whilst hitting a 3 week high against the pound and a 5 month high against the Swiss franc. The Dow Jones, meanwhile, slipped to predictable losses, but losses not as extreme as would have greeted a more impressive non-farm figure.

With all the attention on the underwhelming wave of US jobs data, the European markets were left to their own limp devices as the week wound down. Despite a fairly robust recovery from BP, Shell and Vedanta Resources, among other oil and mining stocks, the general dismal nature of the commodities themselves, with copper cementing its 6 year lows, appeared to weigh on investors’ appetite for the FTSE.

The DAX and CAC settled into some notable, if not extreme, losses this morning, and haven’t been able to shake them since. Still, both should overall end the week in the green after a Greece-free calmness came over the region. That could change if (when?) more details come out about the progress and/or content of a third bailout, be it that a deal will be in place by the August 20th ECB repayment, or that another bridging loan, as Wolfgang Schauble seemed to suggest today, is needed.


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