Spreadex Market Update

Market jitters creep in as Eurogroup lunchtime approaches




After edging into the green after the bell, the DAX and the CAC, alongside the rest of the region’s indices, predictably slipped into the red as the morning went on, with little to suggest today’s meetings will yield the progress that is so solely needed.

Worries over contagion remain at the edges of this saga, with the ECB stating its ELA decision was made due to fears of inspiring irresponsibility in other countries if Greece’s liquidity cap was raised, in an echo of the ‘leniency’ comments Sigmar Gabriel made on Monday. Speaking of Gabriel, the German vice chancellor and economy minister has continued his run of anti-Greek rhetoric, now rivalling Wolfgang Schauble in the misery guts stakes, by claiming that the decision to let Greece in the euro in the first place was ‘naïve’. Comments like this hardly suggest a compromise-ready, open-minded platform ahead of today’s meetings, merely reaffirming the reasons behind the current market negativity, even if Gabriel did float the idea of debt relief if Greece’s proposal (which reportedly is near identical to the most recently rejected plan) were sufficient.

The troublesome state of the commodity market (even if Brent Crude has recovered slightly from yesterday’s lows) combined with a mixed set of manufacturing and industrial production data left the FTSE will little reason to escape the morning’s flatness. The afternoon will bring with it the latest NIESR GDP estimate, something, however, that is likely to be swallowed up by the inevitable flurry of dispatches from Brussels.

Despite the bearish situation in the Eurozone, and a strong morning from the dollar, the US futures are looking perky ahead of a busy day for economic news. The US trade balance and JOLTS job openings figures will be of interest to those avidly following the Fed rate hike debate, whilst more than a few eyes will be on the latest attempt to secure an Iran nuclear deal, something of special interest to oil, which could have to brace itself for another influx into the markets if Iranian sanctions are lifted.

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