Spreadex Market Update

Sunday set as deadliest deadline, Eurozone scrambles to avoid Grexit




The Sunday summit, including all 28 European Union countries in a fairly ominous sign, is being touted as the genuine endgame by the creditors, Donald Tusk especially. Of course if a deal is found things will rumble on a bit longer, but if not the sense is that the final measures will be taken to rid the Eurozone of its Greek headache. In the build-up to another weekend of Greek frolics, Alexis Tsipras will address the European Parliament, assumedly to try and get them on side. More important will be the Eurogroup conference call later this morning, intended to discuss Greece’s request for a €500 billion ESM bailout; or rather, it will be if Greece actually produces its proposal, something it rather astonishingly failed to do yesterday.

The real issue for Greece at the moment is its banks. Without a deal the ECB will cease its liquidity aid to the institutions, something that is barely patching over the cracks as it is, and for real, physical Greek people (all too often forgotten in this saga) the spectre of further capital controls, or worse, looms large over the country. In reaction to all this madness the Eurozone indices opened marginally in the green; however given how poorly the region has been able to hold onto any gains in the last few days, it is unsurprising that this growth has already begun to disappear.

With another day of Greek speculation on the cards, the FTSE could have a rare moment in the spotlight this afternoon as George Osborne reveals his Summer Budget. The revelation of the latest content of the Big Red Box will have stiff competition, however; yet another calamitous fall in the Chinese stock market is continuing to lay waste to the commodity sector, with gold, silver, copper and Brent Crude all in line for another day of hefty losses. The drag this causes on the FTSE’s commodity stocks is obvious, so the UK index will be up against it if it wants to climb to some gains this Wednesday.


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