Spreadex Market Update

USD Pulls Back As Powell Fails To Deliver



Equities Recover Amidst USD Weakness – Sentiment Remains Weak

Equities prices were able to stabilise yesterday against the backdrop of a softer US Dollar. However, with hawkish central bank expectations still very much in the foreground, risks remain pointed lower and indices are vulnerable to further downside should USD continue higher ahead of or in response to tomorrow’s jobs data. The Nikkei was the best performer again yesterday with the index continuing to breakout to fresh highs on the year. However, we are seeing a little giveback today as caution creeps in ahead of the BOJ meeting to be held overnight.

AUD Leads FX – BOC Hold Rates Unchanged – CHF Remains Firm

A softer start for the US Dollar today has allowed for some rebound across the FX space with AUD leading the way over the early European session on Thursday. CAD has been a little weaker on the back of the March BOC meeting yesterday. The BOC held rates steady at 4.5% in line with falling inflation and said it will move into data dependent mode now, monitoring inflation going forward. CHF remains buoyant on the back of a stronger-than-expected CPI reading earlier in the week which has refocused the market’s hawkish SNB expectations. Speaking earlier this week SNB head Jordan noted that the bank cannot rule out further rate hikes in light of the ongoing inflation picture.

Metals & Crude Weaker Again

In the metals and commodities space, both gold and silver paused in their declines yesterday following heavy selling on Tuesday. On the back of those moves, sentiment remains weak and both metals are vulnerable to fresh downside moving forward particularly around tomorrow’s jobs data. Crude prices continued lower yesterday despite the EIA reporting its first inventories deficit in over 10 weeks. However, the data has been attributed to a further numbers adjustment by the EIA and so has been unable to shift bearish sentiment towards crude currently.

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