Spreadex Market Update

Finns approve Greek deal, whilst Greek banks await ECB ELA decision




For all the focus on the Bundestag vote, Finland could have been another big obstacle for Greece given the pro-Grexit stance of the country’s deputy Prime Minister Timo Soini and the bearish comments of finance minister Alexander Stubb throughout the last few months. However, in a market boosting move the Finnish parliament backed the deal, giving Stubb the mandate to discuss the conditions of a third bailout, and importantly putting more pressure on Merkel and co. ahead of Friday’s German vote.

Currently the two other key Greek issues remain unresolved. Reports suggest that the €7 billion Greek finance bridge has been ‘agreed in principle’, but likely won’t be confirmed until after the technical details have been thrashed out. The fairly crucial factor of where the funds will actually come from, however, still remains unclear, with the EFSM still the most likely source. The ECB ELA decision, meanwhile, hasn’t yet arrived, with pressure mounting ahead of the central bank’s afternoon meeting (and subsequent press conference) for Draghi to raise the liquidity cap and ease the suffocating situation the Greek banks (and by extension the Greek people) find themselves in.

Janet Yellen’s hawisk(ish) but largely un-enlightening comments in front of the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday afternoon left both the dollar and US markets in fairly meek form as the Fed chair’s comments failed to spark much appetite for risk, despite the promise of a rate hike at some point this year. Things are looking slightly livelier this morning, with jobless claims and another Yellen testimony, this time in front of the Senate Banking Committee, to look forward to.


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