Spreadex Market Update

DAX hangover causes index to give back Monday’s gains




With the German ZEW economic sentiment missing its targets despite beating last month’s figure, alongside better than expected ZEW figures for the region as a whole and the confirmation of the expected decline in inflation for February, the Eurozone failed to provide its indices with the hangover cure they needed. This has led the DAX to give back the majority of Monday’s gains, with a similar situation elsewhere in the region.

This flurry of economic news has taken place in front of the near-permanent backdrop of German-Greek discord, with more discussion over Varoufakis’ alleged middle-finger salute and Wolfgang Schauble accusing Athens to destroying trust between the two nations. With Morgan Stanley putting the chances of a ‘Grexit’ at 25% for the next 6 months, and a Bank of England advisor claiming its ‘unrealistic’ to expect Greece to repay all its debts, the Eurozone can look forward to this issue casting its shadow over the region for the next few months at the very least.

As the Eurozone gave up much of Monday’s progress, the FTSE managed to let its morning growth slip through its fingers. Losses for Tesco, Antofagasta and the FTSE100’s newest member Hikma Pharmaceuticals ate into the UK index’s gains, alongside the bearish sentiment from Europe spooking investors. However there is a silver lining: so far the FTSE’s oil sector has managed to resist falling into declines despite the latest collapse from Brent Crude, with BP, Tullow Oil and Premier Oil still up for the day.

The US futures are looking jittery ahead of the Federal Reserve’s statement tomorrow, with investors undecided on the predictability of Yellen’s announcement tomorrow. With only building permits and housing starts, the latter likely to reflect the disappointing NAHB housing market index figure from yesterday, the US markets look set to be dominated by hypothetical interest rate-chatter until after the main event on Wednesday evening.



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