Spreadex Market Update

Muted morning as investors avoid risk until after Fed statement




Yet beyond the latest UK retail sales figure, coming in at 0.2% against the 0.1% expected, there was little for the European indices to work with anyway. This meant the FTSE continued to drop by around 25 points from the open, with the DAX and CAC barely moving on the day. Cable and the euro-dollar, meanwhile, were tentatively up as forex investors erred on the dovish side as lunchtime approached.

The US futures, unsurprisingly, adopted the same wait and see tone as the European markets, remaining at the 4 week high reached by the end of Wednesday’s American session. Unlike the their European counterparts, however, the US markets actually have some i’s to dot and some t’s to cross before the main event, as the final wave of data before the Fed’s decision is announced arrives this afternoon.

Building permits are expected to see a slender increase to 1.15 million, whilst the current account deficit is forecast to shrink to $111 billion from $113 billion and the Philly Fed manufacturing index is set to fall to 6.1 from 8.3. Arguably the most relevant piece of data this afternoon is the week’s jobless claims number, forecast to remain at around the 275k posted last Thursday. And whilst these figures will likely hold no sway over the outcome this evening, for clarity-hungry investors that could provide a final hint of the central bank’s direction before Yellen puts everyone out of their misery this evening.


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