Spreadex Market Update

UK wage growth falls ahead of this afternoon’s Budget




Ahead of George Osborne’s potentially final Budget the UK’s jobs data was fairly mixed. The unemployment rate remained at 5.7%, with the employment rate hitting its highest ever mark of 73.3% since comparable records began according to the ONS. However, and it’s a big however ahead of the post-Budget remarks, wage growth slowed once again, falling short of both last month’s figure and this month’s forecasts.

Labour have already commented stating that the average worker is £1600 a year worse off since the Conservative government came into power; unless Osborne unveils measures that deal with this, Ed Balls is sure to use this sound bite after the Budget statement is over. There are also rumours circulating that Osborne’s big surprise this Budget will be a raising of the National Insurance threshold, a voter-grabbing move that would join a similarly rumoured increase of personal allowance. Despite the uncertainty surrounding the Budget and the mixed nature of its data, the FTSE has continued to post gains; however, the pound fell sharply against the dollar following the wage-growth reveal, hitting a 5 year low.

Elsewhere, the US futures continue to look rather sickly as the morning has gone on, with investors clearly unhappy about the lack of clarity surrounding Yellen’s statement this evening. It looks like the US markets will ironically have to be patient to see whether that word is removed from the Federal Reserve’s comments later today.

Finally, with anti-austerity protests turning violent outside the ECB’s new, and very pricey, Frankfurt headquarters, the Eurozone had little data to work with this morning, leading the DAX to continue the heavy declines that began yesterday morning. The region will now be looking to positivity from the FTSE and US markets to drag it out of its post-record hangover.



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