Spreadex Market Update

Turkey/Russia jet shooting causes sharp, market-wide, declines




Despite a better than expected German Ifo business climate figure the DAX soon fell to a 130 point loss in the aftermath of the incident, whilst the CAC plunged to a near 2% decline. The Russia/Turkey altercation seems to have merely intensified the market fears that have been bubbling under the surface since the tragic attacks in Paris a week and a half ago.

Even with the (admittedly shrinking) rebound from Bent Crude and copper the UK index’s oil sector and the majority of its major mining stocks remained in the red. This meant that, combined with the extra dose of bearishness and a CBI realized sales figure that not only vastly underperformed expectations but hit a 9 month low in the process, the FTSE slumped by over 70 points as Tuesday continued.

Currently down by around 70 points it doesn’t look like the Dow Jones will be helping matters this afternoon. Of course that could all change, with the US seeing its preliminary Q3 GDP and goods trade balance before the bell. The former is forecast to improve from 1.5% to 2.0% since the initial estimate, whilst the latter is expected to widen to a $61.8 billion deficit. How the US markets react will be interesting; yesterday’s 2 year manufacturing low lifted the Dow after a limp open, so any negative fluctuation around those estimates could see the index edge into the green.

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