Spreadex Market Update

Eurogroup to work from creditor-approved, but Athens unsupported, proposal this afternoon




The outcome of this was predictably disappointing, with the Eurogroup set to work from a ‘unanimously agreed’ creditor-submitted proposal, one that importantly hasn’t got the backing of Athens.

June has been a month where the creditor cabal has really tightened the noose around Greece, seemingly ignoring every attempt at comprise from Tsipras with a steely eyed determination to get what it wants. In response to the latest dispatches the markets had a bit of a fit, shooting up on the news of the ‘unanimous’ agreement before falling back slightly when ‘unanimous’ was revealed to mean ‘without Greece’s approval’. This still leaves the DAX near the level it started at on Wednesday, but with its gains looking on the slightly eager-side of hopeful.

In a shocking turn of events, the FTSE followed the DAX slightly higher, in a move reminiscent of nearly every day in June so far. Despite a weaker than expected CBI realised sales figure, the FTSE remained firmly focus on the Greek-dealings in Brussels, with little room for any news on Cameron’s search for an EU renegotiation.

A relatively flat performance from the dollar has pushed the US futures higher as they try and recover from yesterday’s precipitous declines. This afternoon sees another set of data that will be of interest to the Federal Reserve; the latest unemployment claims figure is expected to be slightly higher than last week’s, but only by a nudge, whilst the Fed-favourite core PCE price index is forecast to be flat at 0.1% and personal spending and income are both predicted to rise. If all these dollar-boosting, rate hike helping figures are correct then the Dow could be in for another tough day of trading.


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