Andrew Mount's Racing Tips
Andrew heads to the jumps fixtures at Thurles and Musselburgh or his two recommended bets/trades on Thursday, November 28th.
APPRECIATE IT (6-4 in the Spreadex fixed odds betting) tends to jump out to his left and the Willie Mullins-trained ten-year-old could be vulnerable when he reappears at right-handed Thurles on Thursday. The old boy has form figures of 11211171345 (6-11) when racing left-handed for a tiny profit at SP (+£0.12), whereas his right-handed record stands at 311322325 (2-9) for a loss of £6.72. His two right-handed wins came at prohibitive odds (1-12 and 1-5), the latest at Cork back in December 2022, and he looks opposable despite dropping below Graded level for the first time since his Naas win in January 2023. Sell in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market. Fixed odds punters might want to side with his stablemate EMBASSY GARDENS, who has a good record in small fields.
Recommendation: Oppose APPRECIATE IT in Thurles 12.40
Sandy Thomson’s two runners at Wetherby yesterday both disappointed despite being relatively strong in the market – 11-2 shot Whosmydaddy was pulled up and 13-2 chance Just A Poet finished a 23-length seventh of 11 – and the Berwickshire handler’s recent social media posts suggest that he’s been held up by the recent cold spell. He has four runners at Musselburgh today and it’s possible that they might not be spot on for their assignments. THE JAD FACTOR (1.35) has been off the track since April when finishing a close second at Kelso for Mike Smith and Thomson doesn’t have the greatest record at the first time of asking with horses he takes over from other yards (the four ex-Mike Smith horses were all unplaced). MARTY MCFLY’s (2.10) sole win under rules came on good to firm ground in the summer, while GANAPATHI (2.45) is 0-11 since leaving Ireland. TOP MAN TOM (3.20) has started at single-figure odds in his two runs since leaving Ben Pauling but has been beaten by 34 and 41 lengths. All four of the yard’s runners are ridden by Ryan Mania and a sell of his performance index in the Spreadex MUSSELBURGH JOCKEYS market looks warranted.
Recommendation: Sell RYAN MANIA in Musselburgh Jockeys
Please note that the picks recommended in this blog post are based on past performance and should not be considered a guarantee for future winning outcomes, and it is important to remember that spread betting carries a high level of risk to your capital and can result in losses larger than your initial stake/deposit. The views within this preview are those of Andrew Mount, professional tipster and journalist, and not those of Spreadex.
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