Features

Is your football betting netting profits from Liverpool’s goal glut?




Brendan Rogers’ in-form team are currently the top flight’s highest scoring side, have the top two strikers in the leading goalscorers chart and have scored three goals or more on 15 occasions in the league so far this season.

Interestingly they have found the net in the first-half of 26 out of the 28 league games played up until now and you have to go back five months and 18 games to find the last time they drew a blank; a 2-0 reverse to Arsenal at the Emirates on November 2nd 2013.

Liverpool v Manchester United betting

So while this is all rather intriguing, how can punters try and Kop a profit from the Anfield side’s goal rush so far this campaign? And what are the best bets to be looking at for their crunch clash with Manchester United this Sunday?

Well aside from the traditional ways of betting on fixed odds Total Goals, Over/Under bands, first goalscorer or time of first goal, here’s how football spread betters have been getting in on the action.

The table below looks specifically at the football spread betting market of Time of First Team Goal. This is where the spread betting companies predict which minute they think each team will score in a game.

And given Liverpool’s fast starts in the league up until now, you can see in the far two columns how sellers have been raking in the cash – and how buyers have been feeling the pain.

Note that for the Southampton home and Arsenal away fixtures, Liverpool did not score but for the purpose of how spread betting companies settle this market, the figure is entered as 90 rather than 0.

Spread betting on the time of first Liverpool goal

MatchHome/AwayScore (Liv score first)Time of first Liv goalSpreadex pre-match spreadP&L from £1 sellP&L from £1 buy
Stoke h 1-0 37 49-52 £12 -£15
Villa a 1-0 21 49-52 £28 -£31
Man Utd h 1-0 4 50-53 £46 -£49
Swansea a 2-2 4 49-52 £45 -£48
Southampton h 0-1 90 45-48 -£45 £42
Sunderland a 3-1 28 46-49 £18 -£21
C Palace h 3-1 13 37-40 £24 -£27
Newcastle a 2-2 42 42-45 £0 -£3
West Brom h 4-1 12 37-40 £25 -£28
Arsenal a 0-2 90 50-53 -£40 £37
Fulham h 4-0 23 32-35 £17 -£20
Everton a 3-3 5 50-53 £45 -£48
Hull a 1-3 27 41-44 £14 -£17
Norwich h 5-1 15 32-35 £17 -£20
West Ham h 4-1 42 36-39 -£6 £3
Tottenham a 5-0 18 51-54 £33 -£36
Cardiff h 3-1 25 35-38 £10 -£13
Man City a 1-2 24 52-55 £28 -£31
Chelsea a 1-2 3 53-56 £50 -£53
Hull h 2-0 36 36-39 £0 -£3
Stoke a 5-3 5 39-42 £34 -£37
Aston Villa h 2-2 45 32-35 -£13 £10
Everton h 4-0 21 40-43 £19 -£22
West Brom a 1-1 24 40-43 £16 -£19
Arsenal h 5-1 1 45-48 £44 -£47
Fulham a 3-2 41 36-39 -£5 £2
Swansea h 4-3 3 35-38 £32 -£35
Southampton a 3-0 16 44-47 £28 -£31
TOTAL P&L £468 -£552


As well as Time of First Team Goal, there’s a host of other goal-related football spread betting markets that have been attracting Spreadex punters.

For example, Total Goal Minutes (the minutes each goal is scored in a game, aggregated) ended up at 415 in the Reds’ 5-3 thriller at Stoke in January, meaning anyone who bought for £1 on a spread of 141-151 before the game would have made £264 ((415 – 151) x £1).

Spread betters buying Luis Suarez’s Player Goal Minutes (minutes of goals of named player scored in a game, aggregated) in his four goal blast against Norwich on a spread of 50-53 would have made £100 ((153 – 53) x £1) and those getting on Liverpool Goal Rush (based on points awarded per number of goals scored by team 0 = 0, 1 = 10, 2 = 20, 3 = 33, 4 = 50, 5 = 70, 6 or more = 100) at a spread of 27-30 would have made £40 from a £1 buy in the 5-1 demolition of Arsenal in February.

And there are plenty more goal-related markets to choose from too including Time of Last Goal, Headed Goal Minutes, Penalty Goal Minutes, Team Leading Minutes, First Half Goals and, the more simple, Total Goals. Remember also that you can play on all these markets if you think there will be few, or no, goals in a game by going the opposite way on the spread.

The difference between football spread betting and football fixed odds betting

But before we all get carried away with the information above, it’s important to note that the big difference between spread betting on football and fixed odds football bets is that you can lose more than your stake in the spreads if the bet goes against you.

E.g. anyone buying £1 of Suarez Goal Minutes at 53 would lose £53 every time the Uruguayan fails to find the net and buyers of Total Goal Minutes at 151 would lose £151 if the game ended 0-0. So caution is advised – always work out your potential downside before a bet and do your research beforehand.

With that in mind, looking at the big Old Trafford clash on Sunday, the two games played between the sides already this season produced just a single goal on each occasion and you have to go back three seasons and eight matches since four goals were produced by the sides.

So whether you think it’s going to be a goal glut or a shutout, it’s fair to say the spreads can certainly offer a wider selection of betting markets for wily punters to try and net from goal-related bets than just your traditional fixed odds options.

Why Not Try Casino

Go Poker chips

Why Not Try Financials Betting

Go Trading charts

FIND OUT MORE ABOUT SPORTS SPREAD BETTING


View our helpful video guide here to find out more about sports spread betting.

We also have video guides to help you find out more about football spread betting, to find out more about cricket spread betting and to find out more about spread betting on horse racing.

DISCLAIMER


Spread betting and CFD trading carry a high level of risk to your capital and can result in losses larger than your initial stake/deposit. They may not be suitable for everyone so please ensure you fully understand the risks involved.

Spreadex Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, provides an execution only service and does not provide advice in any way. Nothing within this update should be deemed to constitute the provision of investment advice, recommendations, any other professional advice in any way, or a record of our trading prices. This update does not constitute or form part of an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument, nor shall it or the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract therefore. Any persons placing trades based on their interpretation of the comments or information within this update does so entirely at their own risk.

No representation, warranty, or undertaking, express or limited, is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained within this update by Spreadex Ltd or any of its employees and no liability is accepted by such persons for the accuracy or completeness of any such information or opinions. As such, no reliance may be placed for any purpose on the information and opinions contained within this update.

The information contained within this update is the intellectual property of Spreadex Ltd and is protected by UK and International copyright laws. All rights reserved. Users may however freely download, distribute and reproduce extracts of the contents, subject always to accrediting Spreadex Ltd as the source and providing a hyperlink to www.spreadex.com.