Preview
Can Man City break their 3-game losing streak when they travel to Tottenham on Saturday at 7.45pm? The plan at this point was to have the Premier League title already locked away, and a Champions League semi-final to look forward to. Instead City have been forced to delay their domestic coronation after giving up a 2-0 lead against Man United last weekend, while they’ve been dumped out of Europe following a woeful 5-1, 2-legged defeat to Liverpool. It’s the first time City have had a wobble all season, and they’ve not coped with it well. While they’ve had their own Champions League upset to deal with in the last couple of months, domestically Tottenham have been pretty flawless of late. They are unbeaten in their last 14 Premier League games, including 6 wins on the trot, and have a FA Cup semi-final to look forward to next weekend. Saturday’s game may come down to a fight between forwards. Harry Kane (somewhat controversially) has 36 goals in all competitions, and sits at a superior Super Mega PGM of 45-52, while Sergio Aguero, who is back to full fitness, is still chasing his 200th City goal at a spread of 37-43. Though Pep Guardiola’s guys spanked Spurs to the tune of 4-1 when the 2 last met, the downturn in form from the champions-elect makes this weekend’s tie much harder to call, with Spreadex offering a choice Tottenham/Man City Goal Supremacy spread of -0.1-0.1 alongside a Total Goals spread of 2.9-3.1. Rewinding a bit and Saturday actually kicks-off with a trip to St Mary’s for Chelsea at 12.30pm. Antonio Conte has got a serious case of the blues at the moment, with last season’s champions picking up just 3 league wins in 2018, leaving them 10 points adrift of 4th place Tottenham. Chelsea have struggled for goals of late, and could really do with Morata and Giroud, at Super Mega PGMs of 32-38 and 30-36 respectively, taking some of the weight off top scorer Eden Hazard’s shoulders. Admittedly Southampton, who also face the Blues in an FA Cup semi-final next weekend, are in far more trouble. They have 5 league wins total in 2017/18 and are facing the drop. They do have a lifeline, however, thanks to game in hand over Crystal Palace, who sit 3 points above the Saints in 17th. Given the Blues’ current form it’s not unthinkable that the hosts could get something from the fixture, even if they sit at a Chelsea/Southampton (h) Goal Supremacy spread of 0.55-0.75 alongside a Total Goals spread of 2.45-2.65. Late Saturday afternoon then sees a buoyant Liverpool attempt to batter Bournemouth at 5.30pm. With a Champions League semi-final against Roma in the bag, and a very, very slim chance of falling out of the top 4, this visit from the Cherries might not matter much to Klopp and co. However it does present Mohamed Salah, who has a colossal Super Mega PGM of 89-104, the chance to become the first player to score 30 goals in a Premier League season since Luis Suarez did the same for Liverpool in 2013/14. As for Bournemouth, they’ve settled into mid-table obscurity, too far from either a spot in Europe or the relegation zone to muster any drama for the season’s run-in. They’ll just want to avoid the same kind of 4-0 loss they suffered last time they faced the Reds, though a Liverpool/Bournemouth Goal Supremacy spread of 2-2.2 and a Total Goals spread of 3.5-3.7 isn’t very promising in that regard. Turning to Sunday and after surviving a mid-week Europa League scare, Arsenal face Newcastle at 1.30pm. In classic Gunners fashion, Arsenal managed to make a meal out of a 4-1 1st leg lead against CSKA Moscow, trailing 2-0 for much of the 2nd leg before goals from Danny Welbeck and Aaron Ramsey put the fixture beyond doubt. This time out they’ll have the increasingly confident Aubameyang up front, the forward at a Super Mega PGM of 44-51. Newcastle, like Bournemouth, haven’t got much more to play for this season. In fact, their main purpose now will be securing a top 10 finish, which at the moment they are just about managing thanks to a great goal difference than the Cherries. We’ll see whether that is still intact by the end of the weekend, with Spreadex offering an Arsenal/Newcastle (h) Goal Supremacy spread of 0.2-0.4 alongside a Total Goals spread of 2.85-3.05. Finally Man United may gift City the title if they fail to get a result against West Brom at 4pm. Though they upset their bitter rivals last weekend, in the grand scheme of things it doesn’t really matter. What is less certain is United’s claim on 2nd place; they sit 4 points above Liverpool and Tottenham (but admittedly with a game in hand over the former). The Baggies, on the other hand, are at the bottom of the table and are effectively relegated at this point, 10 points adrift of Crystal Palace in 17th. They did, however, manage to break their 8 game losing streak last weekend, holding Swansea to a 1-1 draw. The visitors are unlikely to maintain that momentum, with Spreadex offering a Man United/West Brom Goal Supremacy spread of 1.9-2.1 alongside a Total Goals spread of 2.9-3.1.
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