Preview
After Tuesday’s European goal-fest how will Tottenham, Liverpool and Man City deal with their slightly tougher Champions League appointments? Not to put too fine a point on it, but Tottenham have been dealt an utter bastard of a group, comprising of Borussia Dortmund (who they host this evening), double defending champions Real Madrid and (assumed goal sponge) APOEL. Normally starting such a campaign at home would be a blessing – not so for Tottenham. Last season’s European campaign was defined by the club’s inability to settle into their temporary Wembley surroundings, an issue that has only become more pronounced since they started playing there domestically as well. So far at home this season they’ve managed a 2-1 loss to Chelsea and a 1-1 draw against Burnley, meaning they’ve picked up just one Wembley win (against CSKA Moscow) in the last 12 months. To make matters worse Dele Alli – their most important player alongside Harry Kane, who sits at a Super Mega PGM of 51-59 – misses tonight’s match thanks to a 3 game ban following his Europa League red card against Gent. Tottenham do face a reduced Borussia Dortmund, however, the Germans suffering the late summer shock of Ousmane Dembele’s departure to Barcelona. That might give Spurs the edge, at a Tottenham/Borussia Dortmund Goal Supremacy spread of 0.2-0.4 alongside a Total Goals spread of 2.95-3.15. As for Liverpool, they face a repeat of the 2016 Europa League final as they take on Sevilla. From the damaging (and arguably still unresolved) Philippe Coutinho transfer saga to the events of last weekend there has already been an element of farce around the Reds’ 2017/18 season. Things kicked off with sloppy 3-3 draw against Watford, only to be followed by a solid 1-0 win over Crystal Palace and a rampant 4-0 thrashing of Arsenal. Yet on Saturday Liverpool suffered their own agonising embarrassment as they fell 5-0 to Man City. That’s awful preparation for Wednesday’s European clash, especially with Coutinho fit but unselected and Mohamed Salah potentially out with a sore throat. At least Sadio Mane, who was sent off at the weekend, can make an appearance, the Senegalese star at a Super Mega PGM of 33-39. Still, Sevilla aren’t quite the force they were a couple of seasons ago, when they breezed past Liverpool 3-1 to lift their 5th (and 3rd consecutive) Europa League title. Jurgen Klopp’s lot head into the game at a Liverpool/Sevilla Goal Supremacy spread of 0.8-1 alongside a Total Goals spread of 3-3.2. Compared to their English peers Man City have a fairly easy first game: a trip to last season’s Eredivisie champions Feyenoord. If there was the sense that City weren’t playing to the full extent of their abilities in August – which saw 2-0 and 2-1 wins over Brighton and Bournemouth either side of a 1-1 draw against Everton – Saturday’s win over Liverpool showed just how scary-good the side is when at their peak. Sergio Aguero, who has a Super Mega PGM of 69-79, once again proved his worth as he opened scoring at the 24th minute. Gabriel Jesus (at 56-66) then nabbed a brace either side of the break, before Leroy Sane (who’s at 24-29) completed Liverpool’s humiliation with a pair of goals in the final 13 minutes. If not quite as rambunctious as City, Feyenoord have nevertheless impressed this season. They’ve won 4 in 4, scoring 12 goals along the way while conceding just 2. Admittedly, that latter number may sharply increase on Wednesday, with Spreadex offering a Man City/Feyenoord (h) Goal Supremacy spread of 1.45-1.65 alongside a Total Goals spread of 3.15-3.35. It’s also worth noting, with a Bookings spread of 46-50, that City have been particularly testy this season, picking up 12 yellow cards (leading to 2 reds) in just 4 games.
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