Preview
There will be a few tired legs out there this weekend, as the Premier League returns following a string of tough European ties. First up on Saturday Tottenham will be looking to keep their domestic unbeaten streak going when they travel to Bournemouth at 12.30pm on Sky Sports 1. While a hard fought 0-0 draw against Bayer Leverkusen isn’t anything to write home about, it does mean that Spurs’ lone loss this season is still that Wembley defeat against Monaco. With Harry Kane still injured Son Heung-Min remains Tottenham’s best chance up front, with the South Korean forward at a Super Mega PGM of 34-40, a spread shared by Vincent Janssen, who will be chasing his first league goal on Saturday as he tries to prove his worth in Kane’s absence. Spurs will be facing a buoyant Bournemouth, fresh off a belting 6-1 victory over Hull last Saturday. So far the Cherries have gotten exactly the kind of results they need if they want to ensure another season of Premier League football, with losses against ostensibly bigger sides compensated for by wins against West Brom, Everton and, as mentioned, Hull. Spurs will still fancy taking all 3 points from their trip to the south coast, though it could be close, with Spreadex offering a Tottenham/Bournemouth (h) Goal Supremacy spread of 0.45-0.65 alongside a Total Goals spread of 2.65-2.85. After a dreadfully dull draw against Man United on Monday night Liverpool will want to re-find their spark when they host West Brom at 5.30pm on BT Sport 1. Stifled by Mourinho’s United that draw brought to an end an electrifying run of form that saw the Reds score 13 goals in 4 games. A team like West Brom provides the perfect fodder for Jurgen Klopp and co. to get swiftly back on track, with Philippe Coutinho (at a Super Mega PGM of 32-38) and Roberto Firmino (at 40-47) looking to add to their respectable 4 goal tallies respectively. There shouldn’t be too much opposition put up by West Brom, with Tony Pulis’ side struggling with what was a relatively manageable opening schedule. The Baggies have only managed 2 wins, against Crystal Palace and, in their season’s best, West Ham, losing 2 and drawing 4, most recently against Spurs. The one unmitigated success has been summer signing Nacer Chadli, who has 4 goals in 5 games and travels to Anfield at a Super Mega PGM of 9-13. Chadli alone likely won’t be enough to overcome the home side, however, with Spreadex offering a Liverpool/West Brom Goal Supremacy spread of 1.65-1.85 alongside a Total Goals spread of 2.95-3.15. Sunday then sees Manchester City attempt to find a way out of their current sticky patch when they take on Southampton at 1.30pm on Sky Sports 1. While it was always going to be difficult, Guardiola likely wasn’t expecting his return to the Nou Camp to be such a disaster, a Messi hat-trick (and a late strike from Neymar) giving Barcelona a deserved 4-0 victory and leaving City without a win in 4 games. One of the big questions heading into Sunday will be whether Sergio Aguero stars after controversially only appearing as a sub in City’s last 2 games. The Argentine has scored 11 times this season, yet currently doesn’t seem to fit into Guardiola’s tactical intentions for the club. Southampton suffered their own European disappointment during the week. Despite dominating for large spells at the San Siro a lack of cutting edge in front of goal allowed a 10-man Inter Milan to snatch a 1-0 win. It was the Saints’ first defeat in nearly 6 weeks – not ideal when heading to a league-leading City, especially given the energy-sapping nature of the Thursday Europa League fixtures. Claude Puel’s men may just be a bit too tired to come away from the Etihad with a result, Spreadex offering a Man City/Southampton Goal Supremacy spread of 1.15-1.35 alongside a Total Goals spread of 2.85-3.05. Finally, the biggest game of the weekend sees Jose Mourinho’s first return to Stamford Bridge since last season’s disaster, as his Manchester United face Chelsea at 4pm on Sky Sports 1. Once again the Special One attacked the ‘football Einsteins’ who try to undermine him and the club following United’s rampant 4-1 victory over Fenerbahce, a game that saw Paul Pogba, who got a brace, got some way to addressing his critics. In maintaining his unpleasant and slightly paranoid public persona Mourinho has done nothing to tamp down the drama heading into Sunday’s game against Chelsea, and it will be interesting to see what kind of reaction he gets from his old club. As for Chelsea themselves, they have the benefit of freshness, one of the silver linings that comes with failing to qualify for European football. Antonio Conte has already navigated the Blues out of their own September slump, with back to back clean sheets against Hull and Leicester (who Chelsea beat for a 2nd time this season already). Domestically the London club have just about looked better than their Manchester rivals and, combined with the proximity of United’s last Europa League fixture, arguably have the advantage at a Chelsea/Man United Goal Supremacy spread of 0.25-0.45 alongside a Total Goals spread of 2.4-2.6.
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