Neither defending champions Germany nor pre-tournament favourites Brazil have confirmed their place in the last-16. Will they both do so on Wednesday?

Things are so up in the air in Group F that even a win over South Korea, at 3pm on BBC One, might not be enough to send Germany to the knockouts. To ensure progression to the next round Joachim Loew’s lot needs to win by 2 or more clear goals; anything else would leave them at the mercy of what happens between Sweden and Mexico. They could really do with finding their rhythm in Kazan, especially the goalless Timo Werner, who sits at a promising Super Mega PGM of 54-62.



For the 2002 semi-finalists – who actually lost to Germany 1-0 in Seoul – their path to the last-16 is even trickier. South Korea would need to beat the champs AND see Sweden lost to Mexico AND finish with a better goal difference than both of those nations. That’s a lot to ask, especially, with Spreadex offering a Germany/South Korea Goal Supremacy spread of 1.95-2.15 alongside a Total Goals spread of 3.35-3.55.

It’s a sign of how tight Group F still is that Mexico, who face Sweden at 3pm on BBC Two, could still go out despite winning both of their fixtures so far. Luckily, a point is all Juan Carlos Osorio’s side needs to progress. Javier Hernandez, who scored the 2nd against South Korea, is at a Super Mega PGM of 27-32, with Raul Jimenez, Oribe Peralta and Carlos Vela at 18-22 apiece.



Sweden were desperately unlucky not to pick up a point against World Cup holders last week, a bit of magic from Toni Kroos in the 95th minute leaving Janne Andersson’s side requiring a better result than the Germans on Wednesday. Their opponents have been one of the most high energy sides in the competition, and may have the edge, at a Mexico/Sweden Goal Supremacy spread of 0.2-0.4 alongside a Total Goals spread of 2.35-2.55.

Wednesday evening then sees Brazil try and top Group E when they take on Serbia at 7pm on ITV. The 2014 hosts haven’t exactly lived up to their pre-tournament hype: they were held to a 1-1 draw against Switzerland, and required a pair of injury time goals from Philippe Countinho and Neymar – who sit at Super Mega PGMs of 20-24 and 54-62 respectively – to beat Costa Rica.



Not that Serbia have particularly impressed either. They managed to beat Costa Rica 1-0 in their opening game, but suffered a last minute shock against the Swiss, as Xherdan Shaqiri denied them a point in Kaliningrad. Yet they could still qualify: a win in Moscow would be the cleanest method, with a draw requiring Switzerland to lose by more than one goal against Costa Rica. It’s not looking likely, however, with Spreadex offering a Brazil/Serbia Goal Supremacy spread of 1.05-1.25 alongside a Total Goals spread of 2.85-3.05.

If Switzerland do end up beating Costa Rica, at 7pm on ITV 4, and Brazil also win, who tops Group E could well be decided by their respective disciplinary records. Given that they currently have more cards than the Brazilians, the Swiss may well want to put the boot into the already eliminated CONCACAF side, with Shaqiri, at a Super Mega PGM of 28-34, leading the charge.



The tournament has seen a few decent performances from teams with no chance of reaching the last-16, specifically the likes of Saudi Arabia, Morocco and Peru. Los Ticos could well emulate those other countries, though they haven’t displayed much to suggest they can, with Spreadex offering a Swizterland/Costa Rica Goal Supremacy spread of 0.9-1.1 alongside a Total Goals spread of 2.35-2.55.