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Championship Preview – West Brom vs Birmingham, Friday 29th March 2019



Still with an outsider’s chance of automatic promotion, will West Brom beat a bruised Birmingham this Friday, at 8pm on Sky Sports Football?

The Blues were dealt a rather significant, season-transforming blow last week. The side were deducted 9 points by the English Football League for breaching profitability and sustainability rules – in other words, the club exceeded the £39 million in adjusted losses the EFL deems as acceptable over a 3-year period by just shy of £10 million.


Settled into mid-table safety pre-deduction – something that came as welcome relief following the relegation stress of the previous 2 seasons – Birmingham have now been thrust back into a battle for their place in the Championship following the EFL’ decision. Sat in 18th, only 5 points separate them and Rotherham in 22nd, a gap that could easily shrink if they don’t turn things around and fast.

Garry Monk’s men have failed to win a single game in March, with their run of 4 consecutive losses – to Hull, Aston Villa, Millwall and Preston – their poorest period in the season so far. Even worse is the fact they are yet to score this month, piling the pressure on Che Adams, who has a very respectable 21 Championship goals in 2018/19 and sits at a Super Mega PGM of 27-32, to get back in the habit.

The Baggies, meanwhile, are still yet to muster the requisite momentum to see them enter the Championship’s top 2 with any kind of permanence. Currently they are in 4th, 7 points off of Sheffield United in 2nd – closable, but only with a healthy dose of luck and an improvement in their recently spotty form.

Still, they are coming off back-to-back wins over Swansea and Brentford, and, with Dwight Gayle and Jay Rodriguez at Super Mega PGMs of 36-42, sit at a West Brom/Birmingham Goal Supremacy spread of 0.55-0.75, alongside a Total Goals spread of 2.55-2.75.

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