Preview
Andrew heads to the the Flat meetings at Nottingham and Kempton (AW) for his two recommended bets/trades on Wednesday, October 11th.
MAREFUORI won well on his latest start but that was on Wolverhampton’s Tapeta surface and the return to turf is far from certain to suit Marco Botti’s colt. In the past ten years, Botti has switched 109 last-time out all-weather winners to grass and only nine won (8.7%) for a loss of £45.09 to a £1 level stake at SP (-43.4% on turnover). Those who won at Wolverhampton last time were 0-34. Sell in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market. Fixed odds punters might want to side with LET’S DREAM.
Recommendation: Oppose MAREFUORI in Nottingham 3.47
I want to take on Godolphin’s IMPORTANT ROLE in this 7f novice contest, as the son of Dubawi looks short enough in the betting after trailing home in seventh place when 6-5 favourite for a similar course and distance contest on his debut two months ago. However, rather than sell him in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market I’m going to take a punt on Ralph Beckett’s debutant ZOUM ZOUM. Since the beginning of 2012, Beckett is six from 25 with gelded newcomers on the all-weather and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £37.75 to a £1 level stake at SP. Plenty of the beaten horses also made the frame and he rates a buy in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market.
Recommendation: Back ZOUM ZOUM in Kempton 5.25
Please note that the picks recommended in this blog post are based on past performance and should not be considered a guarantee for future winning outcomes, and it is important to remember that spread betting carries a high level of risk to your capital and can result in losses larger than your initial stake/deposit. The views within this preview are those of Andrew Mount, professional tipster and journalist, and not those of Spreadex.
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